Sport Chit Chat

I probably stand to lose some money as I’ve sprinkled some money on some big dogs and hope to pull even with my favorite pick.

Patrick Cote (around +550) or Anderson Silva (around -750)
Before betting make sure you find the best sports book that has the best line. Due to being such a big underdog fight, Silva has ranged from -650 to -1150.

Anderson Silva is the MOST overrated fighter in the world. Beyond Fedor as it stands. It’s warranted and he has the skills but the way he’s nuthugged is ridiculous. I don’t think a MMA fight should ever be more then -500 unless you are Fedor (who is literally the best all around). Silva has weaknesses which are involved with his takedown defense and his grappling. The notion that he has wordclass jiu-jitsu is absurd. You WANT to take down Spider and people have done it at will. (See Okami, Takase)

Patrick Cote is probably not the fighter to take down Anderson but to give Cote zero chance, standing and on their feet is a joke. I’m not saying Andy is going to take Cote light but with the right gameplan and a tempered aggression can show you some of Silva’s weaknesses. Cote needs a lot of luck to win but I think he’ll at least impress. P.S. Cote will back away for the first two minutes trying to measure Anderson. Eventually he’ll try to work a clinch game and bait the Thai plumb and take down Silva. What happens from there will determine the winner.
Pick: No one in the right mind is willing to risk 7 dollars to make one. Just makes no sense from a logistic stand point. I’d rather put my money into the stock market. Sprinkle some money on Cote.

Thiago Alves (+120) vs Josh Koscheck (-150)
Pick: Toss up/advantage Koscheck
I’m surprised Alves made weight. Diego Sanchez impied that Alves has a enhanced body and while Alves has been caught with illegal substances before, it definitely makes sense but that’s kind of mean. I don’t know how Alves manages to moves but he’s going to be to raise that level is Koscheck can takedown the best (see GSP). However Alves can scare Koscheck away with his striking. Advantage goes to Koscheck though since he does have good enough striking now while Alves has no real ground game.

Gray Maynard (-225) vs Rich Clementi (+185)
Pick: Maynard but Clementi is great value here.
Maynard was going to be one of my picks and must to my disdain, Maynard is a huge favorite. Maynard has zero value due to inexperience. While Clementi is good match up for Maynard it isnt out of order to see Clementi subbing or outworking Maynard.

Fabricio Werdum (-750) vs Junior Dos Santos (+550)
Sprinkled money on JDS. Though I know nothing about him.
Why is Werdum a -750? He really didn’t impressed me on his feet against Arlovski. We found that he can pass Vera’s guard and got a early ref stoppage. I’m just not as impressed with him.

Tyson Griffin (+220) vs Sean Sherk (-270)
Pick: Sherk all day long.
Tyson Griffin is incredibly overrated. He used to be an exciting fighter but since he’s been afraid to wrestle grapplers and used is striking which is okay but very boring. Griffin’s wrestling will be tested but look for it to go the way of Edgar vs Griffin but with more domination. Griffin might make it look close but Sherk will outclass him.

Quick Picks:
Thales Leites vs Drew McFedries: at -455, Leites takes it. Worth a parlay.
Franca vs Aurelio: Franca has the striking advantage and I could see him KOing Aurelio.
Pete Sell vs Josh Burkman - at +180 I like Sell here, not much to bet on but Burkman is overrated and has been lackluster inawhile. The fact that he missed weight is very telling. Pete Sell at 170 is very scary, he just gets a bad rap for getting KO’d by Nate Quarry (and that awesome KO by Smith) but ask Kalib Starnes how he feels about Quarry’s strikes (well he can’t answer you, he’s already ducking that).